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Macroeconomics

Home Macroeconomics

The Rise in Inflation Rate

  • December 23, 2019
  • Prabhat Patnaik
  • Finance, Macroeconomics
  • 0 Comments

Even as the growth rate of the Indian economy is slowing down, and the index of industrial production actually showing negative growth for three consecutive months, August to October (over the corresponding months a year ago), the inflation rate in…

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Missing the Big Picture: Arvind Subramanian and Josh Felman on the “Great Slowdown”

  • December 22, 2019
  • C. P. Chandrasekhar
  • Finance, Macroeconomics
  • 0 Comments

In the latest of many critical interventions since he demitted office as Chief Economic Advisor to the Government of India, Arvind Subramanian (in collaboration with Josh Felman, together hereafter referred to AS-JF) has argued that the recent sharp deceleration in…

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The Crisis in Manufacturing

  • December 17, 2019
  • C. P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh
  • Industry, Macroeconomics
  • 0 Comments

With the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) registering negative month-on-month annual rates of growth over the three months ending October 2019, the perception, based on trends in individual industries, that Indian industry is experiencing or is on the road to…

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The Perversity of the Neo-liberal Fiscal Regime

  • December 16, 2019
  • Prabhat Patnaik
  • Finance, Macroeconomics
  • 0 Comments

When income growth slows down in an economy, so does the growth of tax revenue within the given tax regime. Since the government has certain expenditure obligations, to meet these obligations it has to either impose additional taxes or expand…

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What really happened to public spending in 2018-19?

  • December 3, 2019
  • C. P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh
  • Finance, Macroeconomics
  • 0 Comments

It is now widely recognised that the Finance Minister misinformed Parliament when presenting the Revised Estimates for central government revenues and expenditures in the Union Budget presented in July 2019. That fact has, however, been largely forgotten, perhaps because to…

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When Evidence is Anti-national

  • November 27, 2019
  • C. P. Chandrasekhar
  • Macroeconomics, Poverty
  • 0 Comments

The NDA government has recently declared that it had made an unannounced decision to trash the ‘draft’ report of the official consumer expenditure survey relating to 2018-19. These benchmark surveys, normally conducted every five years in the past, are the…

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Household savings in Troubled Times

  • November 19, 2019
  • C. P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh
  • Finance, Macroeconomics
  • 0 Comments

The experience of depositors in the Punjab and Maharashtra Cooperative Bank (PMCB) suggests that the government and the central bank are unwilling to protect the financial savings of ordinary households. Besides allowing depositors in the bank to access only a…

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The Argument about Competitiveness

  • November 18, 2019
  • Prabhat Patnaik
  • Macroeconomics, Trade and balance of payments
  • 0 Comments

With the government being forced to withdraw from the RCEP agreement, an argument has arisen: if India is not competitive with other countries in producing a whole range of goods, which is why the producers of such goods within the…

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The Changing Nature of Public Employment

  • November 5, 2019
  • C. P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh
  • Employment, Macroeconomics
  • 0 Comments

In a previous edition of MacroScan, we considered trends in central government employment, and showed how the number of people employed by the central government stagnated between 2006 and 2014, while the number employed by central public sector enterprises declined.…

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RCEP and Make in India dreams

  • October 31, 2019
  • Smitha Francis
  • Macroeconomics, Trade and balance of payments
  • 0 Comments

The stated objective of the regional comprehensive economic partnership (RCEP) agreement under negotiation is to integrate ASEAN countries and its bilateral free trade partners — Australia, China, India, Japan, New Zealand and South Korea— into a mega regional free trade…

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